Cross-sectional vs longitudinal research

How different are insights based on cross-sectional (snap-shot) studies from those of longitudinal (over time) investigations? This analysis addressed this question using a detailed case study from the montane ash eucalypt forests of the Central Highlands of Victoria. It encompasses a rare suite of inter-connected cross-sectional and longitudinal investigations that have spanned the past two decades and included work on: (1) the decay and collapse of forest trees with
hollows, (2) populations of a suite of species of arboreal marsupials that are reliant on trees with hollows, and (3) relationships between the abundance, type, and condition of trees with hollows and the presence, abundance, and species richness of these animals.

The longitudinal studies led to new insights that either would not have been possible from a cross-sectional study, or which were unexpected because they did not conform to postulated responses made at the outset based on the results of earlier research. These new insights included: (1) a substantial slowing in rates of tree
fall between 1997 and 2006, which were significantly lower than predicted from earlier data gathered between 1983 and 1993, (2) no evidence for a decline in populations of almost all species of arboreal marsupials between 1997 and 2007, despite the loss of nearly 14% of the measured population of trees with hollows during that time, (3) changes in nest tree selection by some species of arboreal marsupials in response to these changes, (4) concentration effects, in which populations of animals used the declining tree hollow resource more intensively, and (5) evidence for significant rainfall effects on temporal changes in animal abundance.

The study underscored that additional ecological insights can be generated from longitudinal studies, including how relationships between biota and their habitat can change over time. Understanding these temporal changes is essential for informed forest management and biodiversity conservation, and points toward the need for greater use of longitudinal data sets in ecology.

More info: David Lindenmayer David.Lindenmayer@anu.edu.au

Reference
Lindenmayer DB, J Wood, L McBurney, D Michael, M Crane, C MacGregor, R Montague-Drake, P Gibbons & SC Banks (2011). Cross-sectional vs. longitudinal research: a case study of trees with hollows and marsupials in Australian forests. Ecological Monographs 81: 557-580.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/11-0279.1

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